Wednesday, February 19, 2020

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The Road to Geo Chaos 

 

#Secretary of Defense James Mattis, a four star marine general with 50 years of military and government service to his country has resigned. While this might seem inconsequential it is not.  He was a stand for working with our NATO allies and confronting our enemies. During Operation Desert Storm the US worked with 70 (including Russia, thanks to George H W Bush, 41) other countries to oppose Sadam Hussein. Now the US is alone in its military decision making. Who is in charge? Can we trust Vladimir Putin, the chess master?


This is a geo-political chess game. The Russians are masters at geo-political chess. Now the mantel has fallen to Vladimir Putin. His worst nightmare came in 1989 when the USSR crashed due to western economic pressure. The USSR lost all of its dominance over other countries and peoples. Who were they? A little history.

In March 1941, Josef Stalin had accepted about $130,000,000,000.00 (appx. $2 trillion in today's money, some of it repaid) from the US, Canada and UK in food, materials, American steel, sheet metal, artillery guns, and more under the Lend Lease Program, to start an Eastern Front to confront German aggression into Poland and Russia. Hitler’s German troops wearing Summer uniforms were defeated by the severely harsh Russian Winter.  Stalin, armed his troops with US money, built tanks and howitzers and drove westward taking the people, their governments and cultures of several countries.

Since 1945, a Cold War was initiated by Stalin, an Iron Curtain went up to separate the countries called the Western Alliance that now included West Germany. The Baltic countries, Poland, Czechoslovakia, Hungary, Romania, Eastern Germany, were held hostage and Stalin created the created the Iron Curtain, behind which was the USSR. A great coup for Stalin. Not so much for Eastern Europe. The Cold War, the risk of nuclear mutual annihilation ensued.

Additional changes were made to the Soviet Union group throughout the year, until the final group was announced in 1956. By then, 15 countries were annexed by Russia and became part of the USSR: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Estonia, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, and Uzbekistan. Russia was the most powerful of all the republics, and the one maintaining control over the territory and the main political decisions. The thirst for power and control perhaps started by Catherine the Great, then but continued with Lenin, Stalin and now Putin.

Back to the present. I ask again can Vladimir Putin be trusted. Today he stated the “Donald is doing the right thing” in removing US troops from Syria. Also, it no secret that Putin feels it his destiny and duty to reestablish the glory of the USSR. While Donald was playing Monopoly, building his failed casinos in Atlantic City, Putin's initiated his first chess move, he started with building up his own military. Then his second chess move in 2014, lost in 1856 following Crimean War, the reclaiming of port and shipyard of Sevastopol in the Crimea, (Catherine the Great's warm Black Sea southern port for the Russian navy.)

After 2009, after six (6) US bankruptcies The Trump Organization was desperate for money to maintain his empire and for expansion borrowed lots of money from Russian Banks that Putin has influence over. Putin's third chess move, a reversed Lend Lease program with the #Trump Organization. However, with the Russian banks holding the notes for many of his properties including very possibly, the Trump Tower in New York. Perhaps, #The Trump Organization. may even have been persuaded to do some money laundering through the Russian Real Estate Firm located just below the Russian Bank, which is just below the Trump Corporation in the New York Trump Tower. Putin’s fourth chess move, support Donald Trump in the 2016 election. Then Putin could influence American Presidential decision making in his favor. With geo-political disruption to distract the West, Putin would have less opposition to his ambitions.

Perhaps Putin was thinking that with a weakened NATO and the US looking the other way no longer supporting NATO. He could take the rest of the Ukraine. Also, with the US out of Syria he could create chaos in the Middle East. Syria has become part of the Russian sphere of influence with Bashar as its puppet dictator. This would allow Iran greater influence in Syria and threaten Israel within a matter of years.

Not only is pulling our troops of #Syria a military strategic folly, but like in Iraq, it will give ISIS, with a current estimated army of 20-30,000, a chance to regroup and threaten Iraq and the rest of the world. —It is also an extraordinary betrayal of the Syrian and Kurdish people. The often violent and radical dictator “President” Erdogan of Turkey (whom Trump admires)will be able to wipe out his Kurdish opposition. The same Kurdish people who fought so hard to support the US in fighting ISIS in Iraq and Syria. This will be the third time that the US has betrayed the Kurds. This is also a betrayal of our NATO and regional allies. The US will also be drawing down troops in Afghanistan, allowing the Taliban and ISIS to grow and again topple the Afghani government. These actions are being taken without any NATO, Pentagon, or consultation with regional allies. We can not be globally, indifferent.

That would be geo-politically and militarily ruinous to any future collaboration.
President Trump has not been taking advice from the Secretary of Defense or the Pentagon. President Trump is giving free hand to Russia in Syria and Iran’s shiite nation.

Global chaos starting in the Middle East could be with us in a matter of two years. With Defense Secretary James Mattis leaving, a voice of reason will be absent. With John Kelly Leaving there is no limit to President Trumps whims based on “his gut” or the advice of the only global leader he is willing to give respect, Vladimir Putin. The   only conclusion that can be reached is that President Trump has been compromised.  With Mattis and Kelly gone, both the left and right rails beneath the Trump train of the Executive Branch of government have fallen off. Do you trust Putin?  Do you trust Trump? SUPPORT #ROBERT MUELLER, WE NEED TO KNOW ALL THE FACTS.

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Ben Miedema
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Ben Miedema
COO/Owner at MENTTrade, LLC
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